Elon Musk’s Tesla dream is not sustainable. Electric Vehicle producer Tesla is among other EV manufacturers facing a dark future.
Beside the problem that lithium battery powered cars are not environmental friendly at all, the most alarming is coming from power grid operators telling it is impossible to fulfill future demand.
The current Power grid systems are designed in a different period of time when electric cars didn’t exist. It seems to be impossible to charge even a little number of cars in one street at the same time.
A spokesperson from UK Power networks revealed to me that EV driving requires an entire new or very costly upgraded cable network, transformers etc. Therefore massive electric driving on batteries seems to be utopia.
At the same time environmental specialists express their sorrow about mining of lithium which requires tremendous amounts of scarce water.
While lithium resources are limited, there still is no sufficient battery technology to make battery powered vehicles a real competitor to fossil fuel powered vehicles. The limited life time of lithium batteries makes used EV unmarketable
Insiders are convinced that the future is for Hydrogen powered electric cars. Big car manufacturers expect the real breakthrough in a couple of years from now. Shell has worldwide plans to upgrade gas stations with hydrogen outlets.
Toyota proudly presented this year the first widely commercial available hydrogen car Mirai. The car comes in the USA with an 8 year warranty on all key fuel cell components for only $ 50.000. With tax benefits it is 5 to 10 grands less. In the Los Angeles area many Hydrogen fuel stations are now operational. In Europe, behind the scene, developments are ongoing.
Ten years ago BMW presented one of the world’s first Hydrogen powered cars and is expecting to be back with new models within a couple of years. The premium car manufacturer is waiting for more Hydrogen gas stations.
It all means more bad news for Tesla. Since demand for Tesla EV’s is beneath expectations there is overcapacity at the Tesla battery plant in Nevada. Elon Musk now tries to sell his batteries to homes and business.
The media lapped it up and consumers began ordering the “ultimate” home battery solution.
But, again, energy storage experts heavily doubt this product. Panasonic calls Musk’s home battery project “Hyperbole” The expected life time of these batteries is 5 or 6 years. This is a too short life span for an acceptable return on investment.
Panasonic spokesman Phil Hermann said in an earlier interview with The Guardian:
“We are at the very beginning in energy storage in general. Most of the projects currently going on are either demo projects or learning experiences for the utilities. There is very little direct commercial stuff going on. Elon Musk is out there saying you can do things now that the rest of us are hearing and going, ‘really?’ We wish we could but it’s not really possible yet.”